How to Fix the BCS

BCS-trophy

The Bowl Championship Series saw its most chaotic weekend, possibly ever, when Oklahoma, Oklahoma  State and Oregon all lost to seemingly lesser opponents.

The result is a BCS top three consisting of LSU, Alabama and Arkansas. Three schools from the same six-team division in the 12-team SEC. With two weeks to play in the season, the trifecta at the top for the SEC West is unprecedented.

The possibility of rematches involving Alabama are very strong given that, regardless of a LSU win or loss, the Crimson Tide is assured of a spot in the top two of the BCS.Alabama lost to LSU, but beat Arkansas.

Regardless of what happens, there will be questions as to the legitimacy of the BCS, given the potential rematches involving Alabama-LSU or Alabama-Arkansas now seem inevitable. Mathematically, Alabama, LSU and Arkansas are the best teams in the country. LSU is the lone undefeated BCS team, and Alabama and Arkansas lost to the right teams at the right time. (Arkansas to Alabama, giving the Razorbacks time to climb back up the rankings and Alabama to LSU more recently by a small margin, causing only a small drop in the rankings)

So what can be said for teams like Oklahoma State,Virginia Tech, Stanford, Boise State and (undefeated) Houston?

Has there ever been a better time to argue for a college football playoff? Here’s my suggestion, which I developed with my coworker Katey, in the span of 20 minutes this morning.

BCS Playoff

12 teams, seeded 1-12, with six automatic qualifiers and six at-large bids. Seeds 1-4 are based on final BCS rankings among AQs and receive first round byes.

Automatic Qualifiers:

Conference champions from each of the six “BCS conferences” of the SEC, Big East, Big 12, Big 10, Pac 12 and ACC.

At-large bids:

Top six non-AQ teams as determined by the BCS standings.

Making assumptions related to the rest of the season, this is how it would shake out:

Automatic Qualifiers

SEC: LSU
ACC: Virginia Tech
Big 12: Oklahoma State
Big East: Rutgers
Pac 12: Oregon
Big 10: Michigan State

At-Large Bids (based on current or assumed BCS standings)

Alabama
Arkansas
Stanford
Boise State
Houston
Oklahoma

The playoff seeding would be as follows:

  1. LSU
  2. Oklahoma St.
  3. Virginia Tech
  4. Oregon
  5. Michigan State
  6. Rutgers
  7. Alabama
  8. Arkansas
  9. Stanford
  10. Boise State
  11. Houston
  12. Oklahoma

Click to expand

With a 12-team, single elimination, four-round playoff bracket looking like this (click to enlarge)

Using the 2011/12 calendar as a schedule, four round one games would start on or around December 17th, four round two games on Dec. 24th and two semifinal games on Dec. 31st. The championship game would be played on January 14th, only five days after the scheduled date of the 2012 BCS National Championship

The only clunker of a first round matchup is the 6/11 of Houstonv.Rutgers. That says more to the Big East than anything else. I think people would happily pay to see Case Keenum take on a non-CUSA defense. Each of those matchups provide for some amazing mid-December football that could easily compete with the NFL’s late-season matchups.

It gets tricky when you talk about where to play these games. The Cotton Bowl, Capital One Bowl and Chick-Fil-A Bowl all come to mind as excellent chances to farm out the playoffs to the major, but non-BCS  bowls. The playoffs provide for 11 total games. The six major bowls, the four current BCS bowls and then a final BCS Championship game will host each game.

The final game could be bid out every year to cities like Atlanta, New Orleans, Dallas, Indianapolis, Detroit etc., just like the Super Bowl.

Other bowl games could fill the void during the week during the holidays and would feature much more entertaining matchups from schools in major conferences that travel well. It works out well for sponsors, conferences, host cities and fans. Because who really wants to watch the RL Carriers Bowl in New Orleans between Troy and Ohio?

Pros:

True championship tournament featuring the best teams from all conferences
Doesn’t dramatically expand the season
Doesn’t encroach on academic year
Increase revenue to be distributed to participating teams and conferences.
Allows all small school conferences shot at national championship
Keeps current bowl system intact as a complement to playoff

Cons:

Lessens chance of major early season matchups for team trying to preserve BCS standing
Difficult/costly for fans and teams to travel to up to four extra games

Can you imagine what a 12-team playoff would look like? Every team, every game would matter. Rutgers and Houston would have the same chance as winning the national championship. No more four “good” games only leading up to the national championship. Every game would count, with equal build up and implications.

Click to expand

Just for fun, what would the playoffs look like this year?

How GREAT would that be?

A Higher Tax on Gas?? Bring It On!

gas-high

CNN ran a story today about the CEO of GM adovcating for an $1 increase to the current gas tax. His reasoning was that the $1 tax would do more in reducing America’s reliance on gas and foreign oil than stricter fuel efficiency standards for vehicles made by his and other American automakers.

I say bring it on, on one condition.

(Note: I wrote about this on my Facebook wall today)

Funds generated from the tax must go directly into supporting mass and alternative transit initiatives as well as alternative fuel research.

50 cents of every dollar could go to building:

1 – Protected bike lanes on major city thoroughfares
2 – Commuter rail transit to allow people to remain in far flung suburbs, but work in a city center.
3 – Light rail within cities
4 – Subsidizing alternative transportation projects e.g. Office locker rooms for cyclists, street narrowing/landscaping
5 – HOV lanes. People will still have to drive.

This would revitalize major population centers and boost those major cities that have seen a suburban flight. Not everything would be a mass of urban high-rises and condos stacked next to each other, as cities like Birmingham have PLENTY of room for light and medium residential development. There are still great neighborhoods with beautiful houses on large lots within five miles of the city center of Birmingham. (I’m about to move to one)

Suburbia!

Seriously? This is the wide open spaces of the suburbs? (12 miles from downtown Birmingham)

People may not want to give up their houses in the suburbs with their huge yards, huge driveways etc. to which I say what yard? So many new developments these days are houses that look exactly alike stacked so close you can reach out and touch your neighbor’s home.

The other 50 cents should go to research and development alternative energy strategies such CNG, fuel cell, electric and hybrid vehicles.

Boone Pickens stance on reducing our dependance on foreign oil is admirable. America that is not reliant on foreign oil is a stronger America. Less money spend on gas (yes, less even with the tax as a result of the R&D) would free up more money to spend on other domestic goods and services which would revitalize the economy. I won’t even go near the positive affect it would have on foreign policy and our military involvement in the Middle East.

Sure, paying $6 or $7 a gallow sounds like a bad idea on the surface, but if we spent the resulting tax revenues wisely, it could pay off in the long run.

Homepage photo courtesy of Amit Patel

Review: The Shallows

the-shallows

I recently finished The Shallows: What the Internet is Doing to our Brains by Nicholas Carr. I had the opportunity to see him speak last fall and had wanted to read the book since that time. I finally completed it. I won’t try to review the book in full, but I do want to share with you the notes I made throughout the book as  I summarized it while reading it.
These are largely unedited and summarizations of the text. They may not flow as smoothly as I would like.

The book gives a history of research surrounding the brain. Most of the early theories centered on the brain being milled early in our lives and by the time we reach our 20s the brain, and it’s behaviors, are mostly intact, unable to change as we age. The only change comes in the form of decay as the nervous system slowly breaks down and then dies.

New research pointed to neuroplasticity in which the brain is constantly shifting the way it operates to make it more efficient.

How does this work?

Ex. People who become blind but can hear better do so because the area of the brain responsible for sight is taken over by the area responsible for hearing.

In a study of cab drivers in London, the area of the brain responsible for spatial reasoning-navigating London- was much larger than the area dedicated to memory.

Edward Taub’s CIMT is mentioned in which a stroke patient spent 8 hours a day for several weeks using limbs on the left side of his body. The result was the brain re-mapping the pathways necessary to use the left side of the body.

The basic premise is that the large amount of time spent online is causing us not to exercise certain synapses in our brain. The neurons needed for deep, creative thought do not fire. Instead we are firing our quick response neurons, problem, solution, move on. This has a profound long-term affect on creativity, problem solving and discussion skills. We can’t argue a point or sit back and be creative. Our brains absolutely need time to reflect and recharge. Constantly pinging it with stimuli does not give our brain the necessary time to do that.

A constant flood of stimuli does not allow our brain to process bits of information necessary for long-term memory. This is why you can leave a meeting, check your email and instantly forget anything that was said in the meeting. When it’s necessary to process events, thoughts or process steps following a meeting, the brain must have time to do so. Time also isn’t the main issue, but the brain must be conditioned to do so. So even though one may take 5-10 minutes after a meeting to recap, if the brain isn’t conditioned to process things effectively, 5-10 minutes may not be enough.

Our working memory (RAM) is only capable of processing 2-4 pieces of information at any given time. So working through 10 items in a meeting with no means to process/remember them leaves open the possibility of things being overlooked. The information is flowing in is called “cognitive load.” As cognitive load reaches peak capacity, our ability to distinguish the important from the unimportant is severely diminished and all the information becomes static and noise.

Short term memory needs time to process thoughts to long term memory. Any disruption, whether a jab to the head or a simple distraction can sweep the nascent memories from the mind. (A boxer not being able to remember a fight)

Building long term memory can actually make our minds sharper. Expanding long term memory enlarges our intelligence.

The calculator – When schools started allowing the use of calculators, the resulting effect was the freeing up of cognitive load to process more complex mathematical equations. The Web is the opposite in that it taxes cognitive load and diminishes understanding.

The intellectual environment of the Internet is “like trying to read a book while doing a crossword puzzle.”

The book cites an overload of working memory as a possible link to ADD, wherein the ADD is caused by an overloaded working memory and thus may be preventable.

Hyperconnectivity goes beyond the Web with office workers checking email upwards of 30-40 times per hour. Even a brief distraction can curb cognitive processes, forcing a person to restart to get back to where they previously were.

This “switching cost” taxes are brain in much the same way as navigating a curvy mountain road would a car. When moving in a straight line, free of curves a car operates more efficiently and can go faster, but when constantly moving in various directions and braking, the car’s fuel efficiency and wear on the tires is heightened.

Jordan Grafman of the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke says that being online constantly does increase our ability to multitask. However… “The more you multitask, the less deliberate you become; the less able you are to think and reason out a problem.”

Solutions given are likely to be conventional and unoriginal. “How does Acme do it?”

On multitasking, to quote Roman philosopher Seneca “To be everywhere is to be nowhere.”

Cliffnord Nass of Stanford led a research study that showed heavy multitaskers are “suckers for irrelevancy” and that “everything distracts them.”

Heavy multitasking diminishes the ability to support calm, linear thought which is hugely important in navigating a complex equation or taking part in an argument.

“There needs to be a time for efficient data collection and time for inefficient contemplation, time to operate the machine and time to sit idly in the garden.”

Outsource memory and culture withers.”

 

The Economics of Blogging

Adam Smith's Wealth of Nations is referenced as one of the founding texts of modern economics.

Adam Smith's Wealth of Nations is referenced as one of the founding texts of modern economics.

I redesigned my blog today and as part of that redesign and another effort at self-improvement I am going to attempt to blog more frequently.

Hopefully I will find my voice, but until I do the blog will be a hodge podge of whatever suits me at the moment.

Tonight it is N. Gregory Mankiw’s Principles of Microeconomics, 6th Edition. I started reading it tonight because I am a big of fan of Steve Leavitt and Stephen Dubner’s Freakonomics and Superfreakonomics books. I came across the Econ textbook on Amazon the other day and ordered it for $9 delivered.

The first chapter covers the 10 Principles of Economics. I will go over each one in a series of blog posts.

#1 – People face trade-offs

Right now I am choosing the write this blog post instead of playing my Xbox or watching the NBA Finals. Why. I value the content of this blog post, the act of writing and any potential feedback I may receive moreso than I do the other two things I could potentially be doing right now. On a broader scale, my wife and I have lived in separate states for the last three months, seeing each other in 48-96 spurts every 14 day days. Why? Because we valued living together closer to our familes, in a warmer climate and a smaller town for the foreseeable future more than we do spending every day together in Chicago for the next 18 months.

We all face trade-offs every day. Regular or decaf, talk radio or music, go to work or get fired etc. etc. Our decisions ultimately lie in what we perceive the gain to be in choosing one over the other. This is the foundation of economics.

Hopefully you will value reading my blog over time spent playing Angry Birds or checking Facebook.

Moving to Birmingham

bimringham

…got a new job…moved south…and I can’t think of anything that rhymes. So…In case you missed the memo I took a new job with UAB Health System in Birmingham, AL. I moved back a few weeks ago and have been in my new gig for just over two weeks.

It is a GREAT opportunity for me professionally and gives me and Millie a chance to move back home closer to our families. Thurs far it has been great. I’m kind of in limbo as my wonderful wife stayed behind in Chicago to finish out her teaching school year. I’m crashing at my dad’s house. Until the time that Millie joins me here, I pretty much will just hang out. I’m not going to do anything like trying to find a church, establish longterm commitments etc without her here.

What I am doing is working hard during the day, working out at night, reading a lot more, eating right and generally getting a ton of sleep. So far so good.

Google Birthday Freakout

doodle-1

Woah.